Bitcoin in the News : 2015-12

Ring out the old and ring in the new. After catching up through Bitcoin in the News - Oct/Nov 2015, I'm going to devote the first post of each new month to a recap of news from the previous month. December 2015 saw a couple of small stories that attracted more attention than the others. The first was positive.

• SEC Approves Plan to Issue Stock Via Bitcoin's Blockchain (wired.com)
• Bitcoin tech approved as a way to issue shares (engadget.com)

The second was negative.

• Over 10,000 people were duped by Bitcoin mining startup, feds say (arstechnica.com) • 'SEC: Josh Garza and GAW Miners "robbed one investor to pay another".'
• Bitcoin scam charges made against companies in US (bbc.com)

December is the month when journalists look back at the major stories of the waning year.

• The Top 10 Global Bitcoin Regulatory Developments of 2015 (coindesk.com)
• 11 Bitcoin Startups That Went Bust in 2015 (coindesk.com)
• Should You Invest In Bitcoin? 10 Arguments Against As Of December 2015 (forbes.com) • 'second article in a three-part series on whether or not Bitcoin makes a good investment'

It's also the month when they look forward to imagine what the coming year will bring.

• Bitcoin price forecasts: Supply and predictions (businessinsider.com)
• Record highs predicted for bitcoin in 2016 as new supply halves (indiatimes.com)
• 5 Bitcoin and Blockchain Startups to Watch in 2016 (coindesk.com)

These next links aren't really 'news', but it's good to know that the long-running Popular Science thinks the subject is important enough for a feature section.

• Is Bitcoin Really The Future Of Money? (popsci.com)
• Bitcoin: What It Is And How It Works (popsci.com)
• More++

That's it for 2015! Next stop: 2016.

Bitcoin Boxing the Dollar

Today, being both the day after Christmas and a Saturday, is not a day to work, so let's have an easy post. How about a composite image as in the Halloween post Bitcoin : Trick -or- Treat? (31 October 2015).

Sure, that might work, except it's not really Christmas -- it's the day after -- so the moment has passed for a Christmas post. How about a Boxing Day post as in Boxing Day [Wikipedia]:-

Boxing Day is a holiday traditionally celebrated the day following Christmas Day, when servants and tradesmen would receive gifts, known as a "Christmas box", from their masters, employers or customers. [...] In the liturgical kalendar of Western Christianity, the day is dedicated to St. Stephen, so is known as St. Stephen's Day to Christians (especially Anglicans, Lutherans and Roman Catholics), and to the population generally in Italy, Ireland, Finland, Alsace and Moselle in France. It is also known as both St. Stephen's Day and the Day of the Wren or Wren Day in Ireland. In some European countries, most notably Germany, Poland, the Netherlands and those in Scandinavia, 26 December is celebrated as the Second Christmas Day.

Since I didn't know any of that, I'm now a little more knowledgeable. An image search on 'bitcoin boxing' brings up mostly Mike Tyson photos, as in Boxing Legend Mike Tyson Launching Bitcoin ATM. Exclude the word 'Tyson' and voila...

Google image search on 'bitcoin boxing -tyson'
(Sorry, Mike!)

For me, the most interesting images in the composite are the cartoons. The T-shirt (and the related cartoon next to it) in the top row goes to Bitcoin vs Money Boxing Fight Retro Design T-Shirt:-

The Greatest Fight in History World Currency Championship Fight BITCOIN Challenger vs. FIAT MONEY Champion * Ringside is where it's at * No home TV * No radio *

The image to the left of the second row goes to Bitcoin Stock Vector [dreamstime.com], captioned 'Bitcoin is boxing with dollar'. Dreamstime it is; a drawing depicting David vs. Goliath would be more realistic. What will next Christmas bring for bitcoin?

Bitcoin in the News - Oct/Nov 2015

Continuing to catch up with news that has been reported since I started this blog, let's look at the two full months following Bitcoin in the News - Q3 2015. In both months there was one story that stood out above the others.

October:

• Bitcoin exchange Gemini safe and legal: Founders (cnbc.com, *) • 'Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, famous for their legal spat with Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg, launched bitcoin exchange Gemini on Thursday.'
• Winklevoss Exchange Gemini Struggling to Win Bitcoin Traders (coindesk.com) • 'Gemini, the long-awaited New York-based bitcoin exchange founded by Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss and billed as the "Nasdaq of bitcoin", finally debuted on 8th October.

November:

• This convicted Ponzi-schemer may be responsible for bitcoin's massive price spike (businessinsider.com) • 'Bitcoin is ripping higher these days, and a report from the Financial Times suggests that a convicted Ponzi-schemer's latest enterprise could be behind the surge.'
• Bitcoin Fluctuates (techcrunch.com) • 'If you haven’t stared at the price of bitcoin over the past few days, you’ve missed some excitement.'

A useful graph showing recent bitcoin price movements can be found at Bitcoin Price Index Chart (coindesk.com).

Another story that garnered attention was EU clamps down on bitcoin, anonymous payments to curb terrorism funding (reuters.com). Negative stories on bitcoin are nothing exceptional, e.g. Ben Bernanke: Bitcoin Has 'Serious Problems'. It's worth paying attention when a former Federal Reserve chairman talks about money. What are those 'serious problems'?

"It hasn't shown to be a stable source of value" [...] and its role as "a vehicle for illicit transactions, drug selling or terrorist financing or whatever".

This sort of story often generates sharp comments from the bitcoin community and in this case there were more than 150. Most of them focused on the concept 'stable source of value' in contrast to the U.S. dollar.

***

(*) NB (to myself for later action): The CNBC page gave me a message that I hadn't seen before -- 'The audio or video on this page requires DRM software that Firefox does not support' -- along with an accompanying link, Watch DRM content on Firefox.

Bitcoin in the News - Q3 2015

Continuing with Bitcoin in the News - June 2015, I continued exploring the bitcoin world by catching up with the news for July, August, and September of this year. I noted about 70 stories, although September was problematic, because Google News Alert emails became sporadic around the beginning of that month. The upshot was less repetition, but more chance of overlooking something small and quirky.

There are a few ways of categorizing the news. The most important stories are picked up by the main news services and help to identify the big stories of a particular month. For example,

• 2015-07: Fearing return to drachma, some Greeks use bitcoin to dodge capital controls • Reuters
• 2015-08: MtGox bitcoin chief Mark Karpeles arrested in Japan • BBC News
• 2015-09: Bitcoin Is Officially a Commodity, According to U.S. Regulator • Bloomberg
• 2015-09: Bitcoin: Anything But a Currency, U.S. Government Says • Fortune

I give two examples of that last story, because the cited services specialize in business news and are more focused than general news services like Reuters and BBC. Also relevant are services that specialize in technological news. For example,

• The Bitcoin Schism Shows the Genius of Open Source • Wired
• Recording Nasdaq Trades on Bitcoin Platform: How It Works • MIT Technology Review
• Hacking Team broke Bitcoin secrecy by targeting crucial wallet file • Ars Technica

Two more business news services are worth mentioning because of their prestige. Although less useful because they sit behind a paywall (I'm willing to pay for one service at a time, not ten), the titles offer clues to the same stories on other, open sources.

• IBM Adapts Bitcoin Technology for Smart Contracts • WSJ
• Argentine small businesses turning to bitcoin • FT.com

One story that should have been included above, but missed all the cuts, was

• Bitcoin's forked: chief scientist launches alternative proposal for the currency • The Guardian

For the future of bitcoin, it could turn out to be the most important story of third quarter 2015.

Bitcoin in the News - June 2015

Is that right? This post is dated December 2015, but the title says, 'News - June 2015'. When I first got the idea to blog about bitcoin, I set up a Google News Alert to track the subject. That was at the end of May, when the first news reports didn't make much sense to me. With six months of bitcoin experience behind me, I thought it might be worthwhile to take a second look at the first full month of reports. Would they make more sense now?

Indeed they do. With 30+ days of alerts and Google reporting three bitcoin news items per alert (the alerts include other subjects that interest me), that's nearly 100 news reports to review. Most of the reports weren't particularly interesting -- price movements, scare stories, bitcoin is dead, that sort of thing -- but I short listed ~20 for further review.

The big news of that month was undoubtedly Bitcoin Rules Completed by New York Regulator (nytimes.com), reported by a number of sources. The NYT article started,

With just weeks to go before he steps down, Benjamin M. Lawsky, New York’s top financial regulator, on Wednesday released rules for running a Bitcoin business in the state. In a speech at the BITS Emerging Payments Forum in Washington, Mr. Lawsky announced the final set of rules that govern virtual-currency businesses, concluding a nearly two-year effort to regulate the growing Bitcoin industry. Mr. Lawsky said that the final form of the so-called BitLicense would put in place crucial guidelines for protecting consumers and preventing money laundering.

It doesn't take long to realize that, like oil and water, the ideas behind bitcoin and regulation don't mix well. Later the NYT article noted,

Throughout the process, some Bitcoin advocates have questioned whether Mr. Lawsky was overstepping his boundaries and proposing regulations that could throttle the nascent technology. Critics on the Internet site Reddit satirized the regulator by depicting him atop the Iron Throne from the HBO series “Game of Thrones” with the caption “Hail King Lawsky.”

Note the capitalization of 'Bitcoin' throughout. The full title and address (dfs.ny.gov) of the 44-page PDF is NEW YORK STATE DEPARTMENT OF FINANCIAL SERVICES; NEW YORK CODES, RULES AND REGULATIONS; TITLE 23. DEPARTMENT OF FINANCIAL SERVICES; CHAPTER I. REGULATIONS OF THE SUPERINTENDENT OF FINANCIAL SERVICES; PART 200. VIRTUAL CURRENCIES. I downloaded the file and set it aside for a rainy day.

Many of the items served by Google weren't news, but opinion. Sometimes it's hard to tell the difference, as in Bitcoin Rules Divide Wall Street's Digital Currency Community (ibtimes.com).

Bitcoin is facing a coming-of-age moment. The cybercurrency, beloved by techno-libertarians and notorious for financing the Web’s largest black market, will soon come under the formal purview of New York state financial regulators. That’s anathema to bitcoin diehards.

Wall Street is the financial district of New York, which is the financial capital of the USA, which is one of the economic engines of the world, so this story isn't disappearing anytime soon.

Did I really say that scare stories and 'bitcoin is dead' reports aren't particularly interesting? Maybe that's because there are so many of them; for example: Bitcoin isn’t the future of money - it’s either a Ponzi scheme or a pyramid scheme (washingtonpost.com), Lloyd's Report: Bitcoin Will Always Be Risky (coindesk.com), and Matt O'Brien: The scam called Bitcoin (nzherald.co.nz).

No wonder there's so much call for regulation. No one wants to sink hard-earned money into a scam. On the other, positive side of 'the coin', there's a concept of safe haven, as in Greeks are rushing to Bitcoin (money.cnn.com).

With bank doors slammed shut, frantic Greeks are turning to online trading platforms to see if the digital money Bitcoin is a better bet than the euro.

I could go on -- Bitcoin Will Be Money If It Becomes Boring (bloombergview.com), EBA: 51% Attack Remains Bitcoin’s Biggest Problem (coindesk.com), Blockchain Technology Will Transform the Practice of Law (bol.bna.com), and more -- but I'll save that for another time.

Bitcoin Mining Farm - Electricity

In my previous post, Bitcoin Mining Farm, I quoted Eric Mu, the brain behind the bitcointalk.org thread, saying,

Using cheap hydro-power and low-cost water-cooling system, this farm has achieved high ROI rate.

That one sentence pinpoints an essential aspect of the business model: cheap electricity. The following photo shows the bitcoin farm (blue roofs) colocated with a hydropower plant (red roof) in western China.

Multi-petahash BTC mine in Kangding, Sichuan, China (p.21)

Following are selected quotes from the thread, all discussing the importance of cheap electricity.

p.1

The equipment is actually relocated - the new location has cheaper electrical rate so it makes sense to relocate. We would have bought new ones but the supply has been tight and we deem the prices for the new ones are too high.

p.4

The electricity price in the new site is 43% cheaper than the previous one that we relocated from; the downside is that we will have to invest about RMB 4 million in the infrastructure. While the facility right now is filled with old machines of our own (about 5.3P), we have two warehouses under construction and are also looking to buy 6P worth of secondhand miners.

p.11

As some of you already know, I had been traveling. Right now I'm writing from my hotel room in Dalad Banner, a county-level administration in Inner Mongolia with a population of 0.34 million (according to Baidu Zhidao, the Chinese Wikipedia ). [...] The bus ride took 10 hours to bring us from the nameless valley we are located in to Chengdu. We arrived in late evening. We stayed in Chengdu that night and boarded the airliner from Chengdu to Hohhot the next morning. [...]

In the middle of nowhere, we saw this mammoth mine - I was told that it consumed half of the electricity the rest of the county collectively uses. Though I can't verify its claim being Asia's largest, it is obviously larger than ours in Kangding. But the thing is that the electricity that was regarded cheap a couple years ago, was no longer when compared with the newly discovered western Sichuan hydropower, so don't be surprised that it will be emptied over the next few months.

p.15

One caveat of relying on hydropower is that in winter, the supply is likely to be limited. • Q: Can you elaborate on why the hydropower would be limited in the winter? Something freezing somewhere? Electricity needed elsewhere? [...] Most likely the water freezes during the winter so the flow to the hydro station is substantially reduced. • A: More to do with the local precipitation pattern than temperature. We have been thinking of building mobile mines that can be towed by trucks like trailers.

p.16

[Quoting an external source] In spite of the a bright picture painted by the central government's "One Belt And One Road" plan for China's hydropower future, in parts of the country, imbalance of electricity consumption and development remains. Large amount of hydropower is "wasted", new projects are getting increasingly technically challenging, and the resettlement are becoming more and more costly – all threatening the healthy development of the industry.

Near the end of the thread, Eric Mu says, 'the total hashrate will eventually stabilize at 21 to 25 P'. That takes a lot of electricity.

Bitcoin Mining Farm

Posting about bitcoin once a week gives me a regular opportunity to look into different aspects of the subject. One of the most interesting resources so far is on the 'Bitcoin Forum' (bitcointalk.org; see the navigation sidebar on the right): Three months living in a multi-petahash BTC mine in Kangding, Sichuan, China. The blog-like thread was maintained by Eric Mu, CMO of HaoBTC.

I have embarked on a three-month project working and living in a BTC mining farm located in the mountainous region of western Sichuan province. Using cheap hydro-power and low-cost water-cooling system, this farm has achieved high ROI rate. Right now it generates 4.7 petahash/sec and according to our plan will max at 12P over the next three to four months period.

CMO stands for 'Chief Marketing Officer' and HaoBTC 'provides innovative and well-rounded solutions for global Bitcoin users and investors' according to haobtc.com. The forum thread is full of photos like the following.

Vocabulary - Bitcoin [bitcoin.org] informs,

Hash Rate - The hash rate is the measuring unit of the processing power of the bitcoin network. The bitcoin network must make intensive mathematical operations for security purposes. When the network reached a hash rate of 10 Th/s, it meant it could make 10 trillion calculations per second.

For more, see What does One Petahash look like?; 'An Asicminer Blade is 10GH, so 1 PH is 100,000 of these.' For more from Eric Mu, see My Life Inside a Remote Chinese Bitcoin Mine [coindesk.com].