14 September 2019

Bitcoin in the News : 2019-08 More++

After last week's Bitcoin in the News : 2019-08 Price, what other stories are worth a note? In that post I wrote,
Another distinguishing factor in August was the number of volume spikes. I count six, where the top four are shown in the following table.

The first entry in the table was '2019-08-07 12:00', but there was another spike a few days before that wasn't in the table. I found this story;-

This isn't a new idea. In Bitcoin in the News : 2018-11 Deeper, I quoted the same writer:-

Low trading volumes over the holiday weekend, however, mean the market is more vulnerable to so-called "whales" moving large amounts of bitcoin, ripple (XRP), or ethereum. When a major coin holder sells it can trigger automatic computer controlled sell orders leading to sudden sell-offs.

A few months earlier, in Bitcoin in the News : 2018-10 More++, I quoted another story titled 'Bitcoin whales aren’t responsible for volatility, research firm finds'. Volume spikes and volatility aren't necessarily the same thing, so I'll have to watch this topic. The possibility of market manipulation renders the idea even more critical.

Another topic that made multiple appearances in August was bitcoin as 'safe haven'. Here are two examples:-

I counted eight stories on 'safe haven', double the number of any previous month (and following zero stories in July). Considering the price instability inherent to bitcoin, I don't understand how anyone could use it as a safe haven, unless they were particularly desperate.

In past 'More++' posts I've sometimes used a single news source to get an overview of news for the month. For example, last month's Bitcoin in the News : 2019-07 More++ used stories from Forbes. This month I realized that stories from finance.yahoo.com could serve the same purpose. Of 20-or-so Yahoo stories, here are eight that appeared on my short list.

That last story is another angle on whales. Are the crypto markets rigged?

07 September 2019

Bitcoin in the News : 2019-08 Price

Last month's price chart bears some resemblance to the previous month, as seen in Bitcoin in the News : 2019-07 Price. The trend is strong after the start of the month, declines into mid-month, and flattens in the second half of the month. The monthly high in July was 1000 USD above the high in August, while the monthly lows were about the same.


Bitcoin (BTC) Price Index

Another distinguishing factor in August was the number of volume spikes. I count six, where the top four are shown in the following table. The second and third occurred a half-day apart, so I'll treat them as a single spike.

2019-08-07 12:00
2019-08-14 16:00)
2019-08-15 04:00)
2019-08-28 16:00

As usual, Cointelegraph's Analysis category had nothing to offer on price movements -- either those listed above or any other. In a directionless period, what is there to say?

I also looked at pairs of reports under the site's Price Analysis tag -- one before and one after each of the three distinct volume spikes identified above. There was nothing about the associated price movements. For the first time I noticed that volumes aren't taken into account for the technical analysis used in the reports.

The upshot of all this is that I have nothing special to talk about this month. There was one change worth noting. The price chart for August shows two fewer exchanges than the chart in July: from seven exchanges to five. Binance and Okex are missing.