05 May 2018

Bitcoin in the News : 2018-04 Price

In last month's post, Bitcoin in the News : 2018-03 Price, I noted,
The month of March saw a resumption of that 'steady downward trend'.

The month of April looked more like a typical month in 2017, a 'steady upward trend'.


Bitcoin (BTC) Price Index

In posts up to and including last month, I've been trying to understand the price movements using Cointelegraph's 'Bitcoin Price Analysis (BPA)'. The URL hasn't changed, but the Cointelegraph page is now titled Cryptocurrency and Company Analysis (I'll call it CCA), with the further explanation:-

Latest analysis of cryptocurrencies, ICOs, companies and technologies by experts from Cointelegraph.

The April CCA had 23 stories, of which 14 were non-routine. I discovered that I could classify the 'non-routine' stories into a number of broad themes or dimensions. Here are the themes that I determined for April.

Geographic: Cryptocurrencies are a global phenomenon. Asia was the dominant area for stories in April, but this was probably just a coincidence.

Regulatory: Although this is related to the 'Geographic' angle, the issues cut across (e.g.) national boundaries.

Predictive: It's almost a cliché that 'Past Performance Is No Guarantee Of Future Results', but what else is there to use as a guide?

Specific: With the exception of bitcoin, I'm not particularly interested in following the trials and triumphs of particular coins. This is nevertheless an important dimension.

Technological: April saw only stories about the blockchain, but I imagine that mining also belongs here.

That makes a total of five dimensions for classifying cryptocurrency discussions. I'll see how this holds up in May. As for the 'routine' Cointelegraph stories, I'll pick one from from mid-month for a brief analysis, just like I did for the '2018-03 Price' post.

The title lists the same nine cryptocoins I saw in March and the article has the same sort of technical analysis. Looking at the discussion of specific coins, I saw heavy reliance on the '50-day simple moving average (SMA)' along with identification of resistance and support levels. Is that the focus of cryptocoin technical analysis?

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